Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.277030 0.317637 0.361166 0.411185 0.466957 0.527113 0.596787
2026-01-25 0.212927 0.268207 0.332131 0.411033 0.505282 0.613713 0.747320
2026-02-01 0.166592 0.229552 0.307739 0.410792 0.541722 0.701105 0.908206
2026-02-08 0.131881 0.198154 0.286226 0.409600 0.575384 0.787596 1.076446
2026-02-15 0.104711 0.171150 0.265371 0.405125 0.602843 0.867678 1.243333
2026-02-22 0.087423 0.154542 0.255576 0.413346 0.646938 0.972403 1.450664
2026-03-01 0.071049 0.135892 0.239445 0.409448 0.672345 1.052500 1.629800
2026-03-08 0.059120 0.121923 0.227971 0.410332 0.703748 1.142444 1.828404
2026-03-15 0.048366 0.107649 0.213491 0.403975 0.722441 1.214015 2.004177
2026-03-22 0.042953 0.102105 0.212850 0.419914 0.777259 1.343418 2.274063
2026-03-29 0.038295 0.097038 0.212139 0.435257 0.831888 1.475633 2.555763
2026-04-05 0.032946 0.089330 0.205207 0.438360 0.865558 1.576026 2.792916
2026-04-12 0.028045 0.081616 0.197260 0.438933 0.895398 1.673178 3.032720
2026-04-19 0.023707 0.074165 0.188631 0.437025 0.920402 1.763707 3.267020
2026-04-26 0.020112 0.067632 0.180841 0.435674 0.946005 1.856567 3.510185
2026-05-03 0.017050 0.061676 0.173291 0.433731 0.970009 1.947768 3.755180
2026-05-10 0.014295 0.055772 0.164804 0.428603 0.987070 2.027265 3.983848
2026-05-17 0.012653 0.052724 0.162662 0.436949 1.031292 2.158169 4.308549
2026-05-24 0.010672 0.047965 0.155363 0.432691 1.049333 2.241589 4.552875
2026-05-31 0.009194 0.044411 0.150551 0.433508 1.077740 2.345732 4.839163
2026-06-07 0.007676 0.040155 0.143014 0.426780 1.089334 2.418163 5.070686
2026-06-14 0.007089 0.039283 0.144908 0.443432 1.152839 2.594369 5.501844
2026-06-21 0.006534 0.038360 0.146501 0.459469 1.216080 2.773142 5.945229